Outcome Context platform

A probabilistic sports-prediction service. Customer asks a question ("what's the chance Patrick Mahomes throws 30+ TDs and the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?"); the platform returns a calibrated probability backed by tens of thousands of simulated seasons.

Where to start

If you want...	Read
Executive view — current strategic objective + long-horizon path	roadmap.md
Full system design — pseudo model, storage, query layers	design.md
Per-phase detail — scope, definition of done, dependencies, sizing	phase-breakdown.md
Outcomes the AMF engine produces today (product reference — game + season)	amf-outcome-catalogue.md
Cross-cutting design decisions every phase inherits	design-decisions.md
Sequencing rationale (ADR-lite) — why this order	sequencing-rationale.md

Query layer (current implementation reference)

Doc	Purpose
query-layer/reference.md	Convergence reference (post-D1–D4 shape)
query-layer/gap-analysis.md	D1–D4 decisions and rationale
query-layer/build-plan.md	D1–D4 phases, current implementation status
query-layer/rd-findings.md	Query-layer R&D findings (ATO RDTI evidence)

Sub-design specs

Doc	Purpose
sub-designs/d2-derivation-build-pipeline.md	Derived-outcome expansion pipeline
sub-designs/d3-pre-simulation-catalog.md	Pre-simulation outcome catalog storage
sub-designs/d4-store-interface.md	Storage read interface

Operational tooling

Doc	Purpose
graphql-master-prompt.md	LLM master prompt for question-answering against the OC GraphQL surface

Evaluations and precursor experiments

Doc	Purpose
evaluations/redis-as-store.md	Deferred evaluation: Redis as OC store
evaluations/storage-experiment/	Storage substrate experiment (LBS-1177) — 5 docs covering problem statement, status, R&D findings, and narrative

Related — not under this folder

Doc	Where
Closing ADR for the Sports Content Query Service validation (LBS-1181)	docs/adr/adr-009-sports-content-query-service-validation.md
ClickHouse schema review	docs/clickhouse-schema-review.md